The Rockies propped up the NL West division last year with a 64-98 record, their fourth-straight losing season and eleventh in the past 13 campaigns. Yet despite only modest additions this winter, owner Dick Monfort believes the team can play .500 ball this season.
“We have a lot of talent, a lot of good things are going to happen, and I think they are going to start happening this year, and I think we can play .500 ball,” Monfort told a crowd at an event in Colorado (via the Denver Post).
It’s hard to see an obvious pathway to the Rockies finding 17 or more wins to get them over the .500 marker this year, particularly in a division with a number of strong teams. A lot of Monfort’s optimism came from the fact that the Rockies have four prospects – Ezequiel Tovar, Zac Veen, Adael Amador and Drew Romo – that feature in MLB Pipeline’s top-100. Tovar is likely the team’s starting shortstop this year, but it’d be a stretch to think any of the other three could be expected to make any meaningful impact in 2023. The team will also hope to have Kris Bryant available for more than the 42 games he appeared in last year, so there are some reasons to be a little more optimistic about the team than a year ago.
With that being said, it’s hard to see the Rockies making much of a dent in the competitive NL West. The Diamondbacks appear to be a team on the rise with an exciting crop of young players. The Giants missed out on a big signings but have made enough additions to think they’ll at least be somewhat competitive this year. The Dodgers again look like one of the best teams in the league, while the Padres have had another aggressive off-season and will be playing for a championship this season. That aggression from the Padres this winter, which saw them land Xander Bogaerts on a $280MM deal, drew comments from Monfort.
“What the Padres are doing, I don’t 100% agree with, though I know that our fans probably agree with it. We’ll see how it works out. I look at the Padres and they have a really talented team, but they have some holes, too. They’ve got three, maybe four starting pitchers, and then they’re sort of like us. They have [Joe] Musgrove, [Blake] Snell and [Yu] Darvish, so I don’t know. They have spent a lot of money and they will have to spend a lot more if they want to keep [outfielder] Juan Soto. But it does put a lot of pressure on you. Yes, it does.”
On the flipside, the Rockies have had a far quieter winter. They’ve re-signed Jose Urena to a $3.5MM deal, and brought in reliever Pierce Johnson on a $5MM pact. They also acquired young power-hitting outfielder Nolan Jones in a trade for infield prospect Juan Brito, as well as Brent Suter, Connor Seabold and Nick Mears via minor trades or the waiver wire. There was chatter about them potentially shifting infielder Brendan Rodgers for a starting pitcher, namely Miami’s Edward Cabrera, but it never eventuated. They were also heavily linked to the center field market earlier in the off-season, but no move materialized there either.
“We needed a true left-handed center fielder and [Brandon] Nimmo would have been great, but the (Mets) weren’t going to let him go. So we really didn’t address the center fielder situation. But we believe we have probably three legitimate center fielders coming up, and the one thing you don’t want to do is box yourself in. If [prospect Brenton] Doyle goes off, you want Doyle to be in center field. We didn’t really want to box somebody in. So we were really looking for a one-year guy,” Monfort said.
As things stand, it seems the Rockies will be largely running it back in 2023. They aren’t expected to make any significant moves for the remainder of the off-season, and as such it’s hard to see them finishing any higher than fourth in the division. The development of Tovar at shortstop could be an exciting story to follow this season, but it might be a year or two before the team’s other top prospects are ready to impact the major league roster and help push the Rockies back towards contention.